No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $141.18
- Potential payout
- $750.96
- Potential profit
- $609.78
- Multiplier
- 5.32x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Polymarket Trader
Kingstonfox
0x668d87c0922eedacc37d5cf427a1f9accf1608b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $918.04
- Realized PnL
- $5.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $408.76
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $179.47
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $8.77
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $302.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $197.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $54.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $16.79
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.88
- Potential profit
- $31.88
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $10.95
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.13
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.71
No position
More hostages in Gaza freed before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.91
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.94
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.62
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.11
No position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Yes position
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.72
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate leave Romania before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
N
No position
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 68% 73.53 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 68% 220.59 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 19% 263.16 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 20.5% 487.8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 60% 83.33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 60% 166.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 60% 166.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 60% 83.33 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over 74% 135.14 shares
- Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?No 71.5% 13.99 shares