Yes position
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $24.36
- Potential payout
- $16.24K
- Potential profit
- $16.22K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $6.32
Polymarket Trader
thecaricature
0x66a1db98713015330a82f08273b682bee77e80d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $527.51
- Realized PnL
- $9.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $16.33
- Potential payout
- $10.88K
- Potential profit
- $10.87K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $8.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.02K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.78
Yes position
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $7.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.97K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $6.24K
- Potential profit
- $6.24K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Yes position
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.74
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Yes position
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $69.7
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $34.74
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $27.57
Yes position
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $120.74
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $104.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $15.01
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$84.92
Yes position
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $75.52
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$113.63
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.28
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$53.99
Yes position
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Yes position
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $103.35
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $20.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Next US strike on Syria on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.82
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.78
No position
Will Opendoor dip to $5 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.9
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.21
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.46
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.7
Yes position
Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.21
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $314.25
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $243.4
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.47
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $228.72
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.25
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.68
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise between $41m and $42m by midnight?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.58
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193.04
No position
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.42
Yes position
Will DegenPing win the Synthetix trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.19
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 59% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes 13% 99.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 17?No 91.7% 0.24 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 22.7% 50 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 39% 5 shares
- Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 0.9% 234.47 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.7% 201.13 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 10% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 1.9% 499.99 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 0.6% 250 shares
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)GamerLegion 1% 250 shares