No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$244
Polymarket Trader
sfhbgrfdhb
0x66a7fa4b273f25cd6f26acd5e4e5f7a3d04c4f59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $624.55
- Realized PnL
- -$75.94
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $384.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $166.8
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $240.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $59.85
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.75x
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 52.1% 94.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 61% 400 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No 62% 419.99 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 66% 419.99 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 96.4% 280 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 90.4% 350 shares
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 77% 600 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 74.7% 800 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.8% 600 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84.7% 600 shares