Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $725.82
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $228.66
Polymarket Trader
asymptoticnormality
0x66d14ad58b6c7f8c84c03201129a273f0c51b9ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.32K
- Realized PnL
- $687.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $460.03
- Potential payout
- $478.7
- Potential profit
- $18.67
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $37.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $343.74
- Potential payout
- $406.79
- Potential profit
- $63.05
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $291.28
- Potential payout
- $314.9
- Potential profit
- $23.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $119.58
- Potential payout
- $191.33
- Potential profit
- $71.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $130.72
- Potential payout
- $140.33
- Potential profit
- $9.61
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $93.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $82.6
- Potential payout
- $83.27
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.23
- Potential profit
- $74.23
- User PnL
- -$46.76
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $30.02
- Potential profit
- $11.26
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.36
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.39
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $70.74
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.82
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $57.54
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.82
Yes position
Will Marvell Technology (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.12
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.9
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Yes position
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "OpenAI" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $14.13
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $13.08
Yes position
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 40.6% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 96.4% 453.32 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 68% 160 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 67% 30.02 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 71% 53.32 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 99.8% 95.55 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84.3% 406.79 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 61.5% 191.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.2% 478.7 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 72% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67.2% 276.91 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 72% 200 shares