Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $18.15
- Potential profit
- $7.72
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Polymarket Trader
Calmdewx1897
0x66e6eff599a2cab1e6dbaa76d1dce4be74c35671
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.43
- Realized PnL
- -$97.67
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.61
- Potential profit
- $9.61
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.09
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$43.04
Yes position
Will USD reach 19,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88.1% 18.15 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No 98.8% 15.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No 98.2% 75.36 shares
- Will USD reach 19,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?Yes 8.4% 117.74 shares
- Will USD reach 19,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?Yes 51.7% 117.75 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 62.3% 99.42 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 69.4% 99.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 41.3% 167.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 167.16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.3% 102.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.2% 102.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 90% 6.67 shares