Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $871.21
- Potential profit
- $861.19
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Polymarket Trader
lolsim
0x66e7e0d01eac38785f00e0b73778402469002cc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.95
- Realized PnL
- $94.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kate Green win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $468.13
- Potential profit
- $466.96
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $453.18
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $293.82
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $259.52
- Potential profit
- $257.05
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $217.87
- Potential profit
- $213.73
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $174.2
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.46
- Potential profit
- $173.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $171.64
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $135.07
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $130.88
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $127.43
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $117.99
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.98
- Potential profit
- $115.98
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.17
- Potential profit
- $97.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $84.61
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
No position
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $80.99
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $78.57
- Potential profit
- $74.25
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.93
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $57.19
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $53.25
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes 8.7% 57.47 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
- Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 5.8% 86.21 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares
- Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 2.3% 217.87 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 2.8% 178.57 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?No 6.4% 78.57 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.1% 121.95 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes 1.9% 259.52 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 294.12 shares