Yes position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $260.01
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.74K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$26.52
Polymarket Trader
RadioCCOD
0x66f94e9c2b5d0d0079d96693ef15fb7a281eadb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.61K
- Realized PnL
- $10.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $287.56
- Potential payout
- $33.83K
- Potential profit
- $33.54K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$32.38
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $705.76
- Potential payout
- $30.03K
- Potential profit
- $29.33K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$204.19
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $331.54
- Potential payout
- $21.39K
- Potential profit
- $21.06K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$110.18
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $16.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $115.78
- Potential payout
- $15.44K
- Potential profit
- $15.32K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$84.2
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $113.71
- Potential payout
- $15.16K
- Potential profit
- $15.05K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $743.64
- Potential payout
- $15.02K
- Potential profit
- $14.28K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$72.92
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $13.44K
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- $530.84
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $106.37
- Potential payout
- $12.51K
- Potential profit
- $12.41K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $146.19
- Potential payout
- $10.08K
- Potential profit
- $9.94K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$37.09
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $125.27
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$128.7
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $100.82
- Potential payout
- $8.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.96K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$54.15
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $104.31
- Potential payout
- $6.32K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$26.61
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $75.47
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.13K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$13.01
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $42.75
- Potential payout
- $5.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$59.24
Yes position
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $298.02
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $166.81
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $490.41
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$26.61
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.24
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $86.61
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $9.16
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $992.02
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $153.7
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $595.75
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $55.23
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $662.55
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $296.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.28K
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.61
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780.44
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.51
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- $107.32
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $49.9
Yes position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.31
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $32.05
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $26.38
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.03
Yes position
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $13.63
Yes position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $11.02
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $10.28
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $3.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?Yes 79.7% 20.37 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes 76% 15 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes 66% 17.5 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 9.9% 60 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 9.8% 36.8 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16% 20 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 15% 20.1 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 19% 20.86 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 23% 7.68 shares