No position
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $33.69
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Polymarket Trader
Ashtonf2
0x66fdcd3884ef5ef9e0b56e7a7c57aa1bb265f2d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.75
- Realized PnL
- $14.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $14.93
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or higher on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?Yes 98% 17 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8?Yes 99.9% 6 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.8% 18 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 99.8% 15 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 98% 19 shares
- Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 34 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 99% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 97% 20 shares
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 98% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?No 99% 17 shares