No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$22.31
Polymarket Trader
Haileyg7
0x6704b39374bb2cae64e4305461812d083a0a7397
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.96
- Realized PnL
- $12.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.97
- Potential payout
- $21.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $18.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in January?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 27 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 99.9% 15 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 17?No 99.9% 28 shares
- Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99% 20 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Yes 97% 15 shares
- Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Yes 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?Yes 97% 20 shares
- Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?Yes 99% 16 shares
- Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?No 99.9% 19 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99% 17 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 98% 17 shares
- Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?No 97% 19 shares
- Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 99.9% 65.07 shares