Polymarket Trader

JohnSweeney8040

0x6705f403f1ad7ee547f2440d8320d06504887ddc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $177.82
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $789
Potential profit: $789
User PnL: -$340.06

No position

Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738
Potential profit: $738
User PnL: -$405.9

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369
Potential profit: $369
User PnL: -$276.75

No position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $110.58
Potential payout: $228
Potential profit: $117.42
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $49.02

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $134
User PnL: -$14.74

No position

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$67.32

No position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$53.72

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $53.27
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.05

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $13.97
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $5.04
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.82

No position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.1

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.55

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.99

No position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.28

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.57

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.88

Yes position

Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.24

Yes position

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $42.96

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.89

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.31

No position

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.83

Yes position

Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.86

No position

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.38

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

No position

Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.49

No position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.44

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12

No position

Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $6.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

No 71.1% 84 shares
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

No 84% 533 shares
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

No 54% 87 shares
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

No 67% 160 shares
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

No 67% 291 shares
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

No 75% 451 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 85% 14 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 85% 85 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 85% 104 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 85% 78 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 85% 26 shares
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

No 70% 39 shares