No position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
carterfisher
0x67107c880ea811d4a4bddd9885e56649581f3e0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.97
- Realized PnL
- $22.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.74
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 25?No 98.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 25?No 99% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 23?No 99% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?No 98% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?No 98% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 23?No 98% 15 shares
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No 99% 10 shares
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No 90% 10 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 99% 15 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 99.9% 22 shares