Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $70.44
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $266.15
Polymarket Trader
vtx
0x6718edeb32676842cd608e4b9a254b512854e623
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.6K
- Realized PnL
- $3.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $48.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $322.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $209.7
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $690.3
- Multiplier
- 4.29x
- User PnL
- $101.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $346.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $353.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $66.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $425.86
- Potential payout
- $506.97
- Potential profit
- $81.12
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $25.86
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $382.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $117.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $157.5
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $377.95
- Potential payout
- $387.05
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $53.31
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$126
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $290.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $59.25
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$156
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$122.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.93
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
No position
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.5
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.6
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.5
Yes position
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.99
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 12% 900 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 40% 700 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 45% 500 shares
- Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No 92% 30 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 99.6% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 78.9% 506.97 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 96% 400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 98.5% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 78% 400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 42% 300 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.5% 436.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 300 shares