Polymarket Trader

shmeba

0x6725d56690fbe9ba9f301997cef4b503f1cd1bf9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.98K
Realized PnL: $9.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.6%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $28.43
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$59.99

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $988.93
Potential profit: $988.93
User PnL: -$71.92

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $16.89
Potential payout: $603.33
Potential profit: $586.43
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$113.11

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $537.63
Potential profit: $531.18
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$93.55

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $120.71
Potential payout: $371.43
Potential profit: $250.71
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$9.29

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $350.8
Potential payout: $362.02
Potential profit: $11.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $150.8

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.83
Potential profit: $63.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $7.33
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $53.78
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $1.22

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.79

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477

Yes position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.08

Yes position

Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.51

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.59

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.63

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.19

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.96

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.07

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.34

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.8

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.7

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.47

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.1

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.85

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.91

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.65

No position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.42

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.25

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 28% 240 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 9% 299 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 9% 3,333.33 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 25% 240 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 20% 327.87 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 61% 327.87 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 574.07 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 47% 212.77 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 52.4% 370.37 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 67% 149.25 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 44.4% 131.57 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 38% 131.58 shares