Polymarket Trader

oneAce

0x67273092baf2e83c1ea6292e52981dbbbbb85b6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.35K
Realized PnL: $2.64K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $94.3K
Potential profit: $92.74K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $80.29K
Potential profit: $76.72K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$224.81

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.26K
Potential profit: $50.26K
User PnL: -$160.49

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $34.95K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $32.31K
Potential profit: $28.32K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $31.38K
Potential profit: $27.03K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $924.15
Potential payout: $30.3K
Potential profit: $29.38K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $296.12

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$162.5

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $685.65
Potential payout: $22.48K
Potential profit: $21.79K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$146.12

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $771.83
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $4.26K
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $771.83

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $74.43
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.73K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $74.43

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $281.9
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$19.74

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$50.05

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$53.35

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $37.95
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$17.05

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$53.35

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$55

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$237.93

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $13.77
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $326.23
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $13.77

Yes position

Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $274.5
Potential profit: $273.13
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $626.47

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $535.56

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $36.36

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.97

Lucas Rocha position

UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $7.07

Muslim Salikhov position

UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$7.17

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$65.3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$129.72

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$161.15

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$167.75

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$171.05

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$215.67

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$257

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$260.3

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$260.3

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$282.61

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$285.91

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$301.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 15,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 10,000 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 30,000 shares
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 22,480.46 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 11.9 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 12,312.55 shares
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 140.8 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 65,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 525.44 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 825.63 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 12,000 shares