Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1M
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- $502
Polymarket Trader
Shirtybonds
0x672f13d830d3617efea21c2ec7f4bda5d2c27fcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1M
- Realized PnL
- $11.96K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 426,912.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 577,087.65 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 124 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 10,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 3,100 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 572.22 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 155,175.74 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?Yes 95% 186.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 200 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 26,102.78 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 575,370.28 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 84,065.7 shares