Polymarket Trader

Notz

0x674748d19bd168aeb372b744e9b1f44ffaa83695

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.26
Realized PnL: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $15.69
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $7.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $15.24
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$6.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10.43
Potential profit: $10.38
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$5.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.59
User PnL: -$4.43

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.89

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.38

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.57
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.04

Tsitsipas position

Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.14

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.3

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $164.79

Galions Sharks position

LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $145.26

Yes position

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.74

No position

Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.46

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2025-11-13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.87

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.53

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.07

French Flair position

LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $93.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.8

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.62

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.96

Anisimova position

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.49

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 6PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.19

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 68% 3.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 64% 3.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 72% 3.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 50% 3.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 55% 3.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 56% 3.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 64% 3.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 70% 3.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Down 95% 3.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 86.2% 3.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Up 65% 2.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Up 93% 3.34 shares