Polymarket Trader

mesitica

0x674f269ae33c4f541f8784b5cd8c86891bd66888

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.61K
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $40.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $122.68

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $495.07
Potential payout: $541.06
Potential profit: $45.99
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $409.51
Potential payout: $437.97
Potential profit: $28.47
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.51

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $396.22
Potential payout: $415.76
Potential profit: $19.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $80.55

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $164.69
Potential payout: $212.5
Potential profit: $47.81
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $48.9
Potential profit: $28.85
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.84
Potential profit: $17.84
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $651.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.28

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.18

No position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 80% 212.5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 40.9% 48.9 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 41% 35.89 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 74.5% 238.27 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 78% 35.9 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

No 95.7% 14.46 shares
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

Yes 91.3% 437.97 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Yes 86% 1,162.79 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 89.5% 1,594.53 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Yes 75.9% 415.76 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 90% 349.1 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 91.7% 2,181.9 shares