No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.41
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Polymarket Trader
monkeyKing93
0x67544dd0ddf7306f5113d04ddb6f47ee5a43e75e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.24
- Realized PnL
- $30.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Texas Longhorns position
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 49% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?No 58% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 30?No 54% 5 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 39% 2.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 68% 2.46 shares
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?No 50% 2.7 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 71% 3.74 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 92.3% 4.83 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 78% 0.54 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?No 39% 0.31 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 82% 3 shares
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?No 62% 2.71 shares