Polymarket Trader

TheGreekTraderPM

@TheGreekTrader

0x6770bf688b8121331b1c5cfd7723ebd4152545fb

Verified Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.66K
Realized PnL: $28.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.29K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.71K
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: -$6.71K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $16.71K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $6.71K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $5.46K
Potential payout: $12.54K
Potential profit: $7.09K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $6.16K
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $59.12
User PnL: $434

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.92K
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $93.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $51.14

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $35.73
User PnL: $75.99

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$64.29

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $89.6
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$189.15

Yes position

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$32.75

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$318.59

Yes position

Will Serbia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$149.04

Yes position

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$17.65

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$87.22

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $836.1
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $228.99
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $82.49

Yes position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$339.42

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $987.99
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $914.48
Potential profit: $914.48
User PnL: -$38.84

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.01
Potential profit: $900.01
User PnL: -$662.4

Yes position

Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $770
User PnL: -$154

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670.96
Potential profit: $670.96
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.48
Potential profit: $602.48
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.22
Potential profit: $555.22
User PnL: -$143.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Valentova position

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.19K

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the Fox News interview on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.41

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.37

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $835.97

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828.99

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.08

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Apple" during tariff event on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.54

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.05

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.75

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.4

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $582.68

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $557.66

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $544.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 1,038.5 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 99.1% 15 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 60% 10 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 61% 20 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 66% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 37% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 36% 1,231.04 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 35% 4,396.08 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 43% 1,725.16 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.5% 1,035.8 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 79% 210 shares