Yes position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $299.38
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $13.26
Polymarket Trader
szarruk
0x677e06702992f6026cc7ad43379c8c4f3f935d5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $470.37
- Realized PnL
- -$7.81
- Win rate
- 29.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $44.71
- Potential payout
- $357.69
- Potential profit
- $312.98
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.34
Yes position
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $231.53
- Potential profit
- $231.18
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.03
Yes position
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $216.08
- Potential profit
- $209.49
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$14.13
Yes position
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $214.89
- Potential profit
- $175.14
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.71
Yes position
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.99
- Potential profit
- $169.99
- User PnL
- -$18.47
Yes position
Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.92
- Potential profit
- $138.92
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Yes position
Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.69
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $93.87
- Potential profit
- $83.55
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $78.71
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $83.87
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.99
- Potential profit
- $83.99
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $77.48
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$6.59
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $70.73
- Potential profit
- $70.59
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $62.24
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.85
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $38.31
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $38.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$10.35
Yes position
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $32.47
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $22.88
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $28.92
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $28.21
- Potential profit
- $25.35
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Yes 91% 1.09 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Yes 87% 1.16 shares
- Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.3% 6 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 5% 178.12 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 5.1% 206.09 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 6% 220.12 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 6% 235.09 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 6% 271.82 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 8% 32 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 8% 31 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 8% 26 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 8% 25 shares