Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $241.95
- Potential payout
- $424.55
- Potential profit
- $182.6
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $8.45
Polymarket Trader
0x677e...62b4
0x677e075068baa2e8b44f2cbc57fd367e5aac62b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $241.95
- Realized PnL
- $144.68
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $57.67
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $56.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$70.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 55% 424.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 92% 274.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 274.65 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 89% 236.92 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 65% 236.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 28% 587.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 587.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 63% 246.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 98.6% 158.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 85.2% 158.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 195 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 195 shares