0x6784858070e1F57c770a1e3B4F9eeefb3Ce47565-1765826087607

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $60.51
Potential payout: $116.37
Potential profit: $55.86
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $39.79
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $67.74
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $35.81
Potential payout: $95.5
Potential profit: $59.69
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $21.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $48.13
Potential payout: $83.7
Potential profit: $35.57
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$15.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $26.99
Potential payout: $71.04
Potential profit: $44.04
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$2.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $42.27
Potential payout: $65.54
Potential profit: $23.27
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $51.85
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $36.1
Potential payout: $55.12
Potential profit: $19.02
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $5.71

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $32.61
Potential payout: $45.61
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$10.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $28.65
Potential payout: $40.92
Potential profit: $12.28
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $34.94
Potential profit: $22.71
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $30.97
Potential payout: $32.77
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $15.08
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $15.69
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $16.15
Potential payout: $30.19
Potential profit: $14.04
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $17.19
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $12.44
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $18.43
Potential payout: $29.25
Potential profit: $10.82
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $18.41
Potential payout: $28.11
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $23.27
Potential payout: $27.54
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $17.16
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $9.87
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $26.83
Potential profit: $17.03
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 66.3%
Current value: $17.74
Potential payout: $26.76
Potential profit: $9.02
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $12.53
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $21.78
Potential profit: $8.49
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $20.78
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $986.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $972.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $927.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $913.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $811.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $694.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET