Polymarket Trader

revealyourhole

0x678ddf190f0139a1f99473c373c60c9693a9aefb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $141.68
Realized PnL: $4.42K
Win rate: 70.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.89K
Potential profit: $3.89K
User PnL: -$30.54

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$480

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $71.5
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $882.35
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.2
Potential profit: $766.2
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $70.18
Potential payout: $401
Potential profit: $330.83
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $26.06

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.74
Potential profit: $99.74
User PnL: -$11.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.42
Potential profit: $62.42
User PnL: -$4.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $437.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 11% 401 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 1,243.56 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.6% 535.6 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 21% 95.24 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 21% 476.19 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

No 2.5% 1,985.94 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

No 2.3% 1,070.88 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

No 4.6% 1,090.86 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

No 1.3% 1,507.14 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 2,593.09 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 20% 80 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.7% 64.26 shares