Polymarket Trader

hahahahh

0x67959fa6b47097c4174678f02db61cb5ddefc55d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $396
Realized PnL: $1.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$95

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$411.48

No position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $999.96
User PnL: -$249.99

Yes position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $396
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $404
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.08
Potential profit: $600.08
User PnL: -$390.76

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$378.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$78

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$71.99

No position

Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$10

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16.4

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.35

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

Yes position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.2

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.5

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $134.67

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Thunder position

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Eagles position

Rams vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Yes 36% 140 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 59% 327.73 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

No 51% 515 shares
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

No 95.7% 68.22 shares
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?

Yes 48% 400 shares
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Yes 54% 221.53 shares
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Yes 70% 500 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 83.8% 99.99 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 30% 1,562.57 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 30% 1,669.27 shares
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

No 37% 1,112.1 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Yes 87% 500 shares