Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x67a8914a08Fe11eCd1Bd4423A5374407a7967d91-1772516052916
0x67a8914a08fe11ecd1bd4423a5374407a7967d91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.88
- Realized PnL
- -$5.91
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $9.72
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $6.83
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $4.27
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 5.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
No position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?No 82% 1.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?No 5% 1.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?No 60.7% 1.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?Yes 29.3% 6.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 4% 6.66 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 99.9% 4 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.6% 5.31 shares