No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.05K
- Potential profit
- $33.05K
- User PnL
- -$7.22K
Polymarket Trader
pinduoduo
0x67b8a4ae08a3c09215e1d1e6afc50d85efd94bb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.94K
- Realized PnL
- $50.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.77K
- Potential payout
- $11.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $773.81
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.79K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $712.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $18.92
- User PnL
- $191.29
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- User PnL
- $180.13
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $619.28
- Potential profit
- $619.28
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Solana reach $120 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $480
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $324.44
- Potential payout
- $348.3
- Potential profit
- $23.86
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$87
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.35
- Potential profit
- $242.35
- User PnL
- -$206
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $137.3
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $37.3
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $124.72
- Potential payout
- $125.79
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- User PnL
- $24.72
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $13.18
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $77.73
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.82
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.64
- Potential profit
- $48.64
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $11.49
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $15.54
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $18.98
- Potential payout
- $23.75
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.42K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.05
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.86
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.76
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.83
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.77
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.24
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.81
No position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.37
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
No position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 30.5% 3,278.69 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 95% 4,204.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 82% 121.95 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 56% 892.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.8% 2,426.9 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 2,500 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 74% 3,053.6 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 3.5% 3,530.55 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 65.5% 3,053.6 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 28.3% 3,530.56 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 90% 1,111.11 shares