Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $28.68
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Polymarket Trader
0x67bb...39ed
0x67bb08442c62cc7f919d1de5eee96bb0ba9d39ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $25.45
- Realized PnL
- -$3.88
- Win rate
- 27.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.93
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.6% 17 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 14.8% 10 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 92% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 11 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 23% 8 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 81% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 9 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 84% 8 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 16% 13 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.4% 5 shares