Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.11K
- Potential profit
- $16.11K
- User PnL
- -$32.22
Polymarket Trader
0x67d05678B89f84F7432A4c8408143135c9b1Db7A-1768931658497
0x67d05678b89f84f7432a4c8408143135c9b1db7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $19.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $518.73
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $9.18K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$122.46
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $388.86
- Potential payout
- $8.02K
- Potential profit
- $7.63K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$384.8
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.72K
- Potential profit
- $4.72K
- User PnL
- -$94.99
Yes position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $746.93
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $271.45
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $523.19
- Potential profit
- $523.19
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.98
Yes position
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $963.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $917.41
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $908.72
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $867.21
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $837.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.8
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $700.67
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $662.16
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $657.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $576.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $550.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $506.56
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $417.34
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $410.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $404.6
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $384.85
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $380.29
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 12% 4.07 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.8% 228 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.8% 636 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.8% 6,500 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 16% 43 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 10% 819.62 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.3% 600.12 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.1% 220 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 9% 1,104.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 8% 1,500 shares