Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- User PnL
- -$46
Polymarket Trader
ilGioria
0x67d4124bfe691dfcdbfb9a131800fa3c840eb1e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.15
- Realized PnL
- $2.63K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$126.98
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $143.3
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$143.3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $40.85
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$109.15
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$69
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$177
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.41
- Potential profit
- $378.41
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.27
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.15
Yes position
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.39
No position
Bitcoin above $114K on August 19 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.83
Yes position
Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.61
Yes position
Bitcoin above $114K on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.91
Yes position
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.38
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.35
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $155.56
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.23
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.24
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.48
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Yes position
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k August 18–24?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.3% 1,572.91 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 4.6% 1,086.96 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?Yes 3% 3,415.89 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 22% 485.95 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 5% 2,136.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 2,204.62 shares
- Will the US strike Somalia next?No 6.8% 1,015.03 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 16% 2,222.22 shares
- Will the US strike Syria next?Yes 9.1% 140.54 shares
- Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes 1.1% 910.19 shares
- Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes 1.3% 778.23 shares
- Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes 1.7% 573.53 shares