Polymarket Trader

GambleTheHouse

0x67d657e52db60591b27b411f0ed1dbde811c245e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.25K
Realized PnL: $26.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $11.03K
Potential payout: $55.58K
Potential profit: $44.55K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$16.76K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $44.55K
Potential payout: $55.58K
Potential profit: $11.03K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $16.76K

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85K
Potential profit: $14.85K
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.64K
Potential profit: $9.64K
User PnL: -$220.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43K
Potential profit: $9.43K
User PnL: -$530.77

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.44K
Potential profit: $7.44K
User PnL: -$433

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $6.72K
User PnL: -$443.48

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $6.16K
Potential payout: $6.34K
Potential profit: $177.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $909.49

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $237.53
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $6.1K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$462.82

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.63K
Potential profit: $5.63K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.55K
User PnL: -$34.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5.88

Under position

Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$490

Over position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$470

Over position

Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 136.5

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$540

No position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $838.71
Potential profit: $838.71
User PnL: -$136.8

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.1%
Current value: $278.88
Potential payout: $663.22
Potential profit: $384.33
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$8.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $547.54
Potential profit: $547.54
User PnL: -$4.5

Over position

Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.51
Potential profit: $326.51
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.63
Potential profit: $185.63
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.66
Potential profit: $110.66
User PnL: -$0.33

Over position

Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$18.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.84K

No position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.47K

High Point Panthers position

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Duke Blue Devils position

Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

TCU Horned Frogs position

Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $821.19

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $783.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $769.71

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $744.89

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $630.78

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.81

No position

Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $616.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $611.12

Under position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 146.5

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Over position

High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580.37

TCU Horned Frogs position

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $541.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 3.7% 400 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 4.9% 100 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 2,260.92 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 389.99 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 93% 904.99 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 93% 899.97 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 92% 140.91 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 91.8% 272.97 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 91.4% 3,596.74 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 90% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 88.9% 27.53 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 14% 5,090 shares