Polymarket Trader

dramp3

@BTCThinker88

0x67fac157334878d1d3d602fa8d59fb9bdf01e90f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.04K
Realized PnL: $1.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $8.21K
Potential profit: $5.09K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$2.37K

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $5.27K
Potential payout: $5.86K
Potential profit: $588.83
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$121.42

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $4.74K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$558.64

No position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $376.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$253.06

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: -$1.17K

No position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $6.23
User PnL: $86.33

Yes position

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $230
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $451.92
Potential payout: $941.5
Potential profit: $489.58
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$192.71

No position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $97.09
Potential payout: $97.43
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $3.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $758.11

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.11

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.98

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.98

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.1

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.08

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Joe Biden arrested by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

USDT depeg in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Solana reach $240 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 91.5% 859 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 38.62 shares
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No 96% 62 shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 88.6% 339.7 shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 93% 100 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 30% 2,359.4 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 32% 5,834.83 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 33% 13 shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 93% 3,000 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 96.3% 59.92 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40% 67.5 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Yes 98% 500 shares