Polymarket Trader

KaptKarizz

0x680149c349d3bb2171cf77bcec7e437aa0b0d577

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $345.24
Realized PnL: $355.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $205.69
Potential payout: $227.28
Potential profit: $21.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.85
Potential profit: $164.85
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.53
Potential profit: $59.53
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $52.68
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.68

Avengers: Doomsday position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $47.15
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $6.04
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $26.39
Potential payout: $37.98
Potential profit: $11.59
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$3.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.97
Potential profit: $28.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$3.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Femi position

Wrestlefest: Oba Femi vs. Brock Lesnar

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $9.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13

Reigns position

Wrestlefest: CM Punk vs. Roman Reigns

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Ivory position

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 97.7% 54.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Down 51% 196.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Down 30.3% 164.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Down 84% 59.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Down 73.3% 192.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Down 52% 192.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Down 1% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Down 45% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Down 10% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Up 64% 17.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Up 56% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 71% 96.15 shares