Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $39.79K
- Potential payout
- $589.5K
- Potential profit
- $549.71K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$9.56K
Polymarket Trader
Aurelian9
0x6806d2ab8efb9c41baa28c72e44fdfc4b3293a05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.3K
- Realized PnL
- -$15.12
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $462.24
- Potential payout
- $115.56K
- Potential profit
- $115.1K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.91K
Yes position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $28.71
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $181.68
- Potential profit
- $180.77
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $176.25
- Potential profit
- $161.27
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $31.84
- Potential profit
- $31.68
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 11% 21.58 shares
- Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.6% 181.68 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 3.1% 31.84 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 23% 13.04 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 15.8% 126.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown 9% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown 1% 500 shares
- Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?No 97.6% 1.02 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 32% 6.25 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.9% 1.24 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 7.2% 1,111.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 8% 14.7 shares