Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $3.45K
- Potential payout
- $9.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$370.46
Polymarket Trader
MaDuR0
0x6817bcbea79dc1be3ae1005fd7bdf4b57a94f496
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.45K
- Realized PnL
- $6.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$645.77
No position
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.67
- Potential profit
- $346.67
- User PnL
- -$196.26
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.97
- Potential profit
- $299.97
- User PnL
- -$81.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Suns position
Suns vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960
Yes position
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $429.79
Yes position
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.09
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.37
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.1
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.15
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $159.66
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.33
No position
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.31
No position
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $118.15
No position
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.48
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.94
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.06
No position
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 709.87 shares
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes 57% 79 shares
- Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 12.1% 36.11 shares
- Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 12.2% 10.56 shares
- Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 90% 27.6 shares
- Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 86% 307.73 shares
- Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 64.5% 260 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 86% 1,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 63% 172.97 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.6% 316 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 27.1% 10 shares