No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $885.34
- Potential profit
- $885.34
- User PnL
- -$155.82
Polymarket Trader
Demimonde
0x681b16d613eb9b3d4b5973fd66fb4541826f8a5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.25
- Realized PnL
- $1.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$21.7
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $563.51
- Potential profit
- $563.51
- User PnL
- -$101.08
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$88
No position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$81
Y
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$12
N
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$64
N
No position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.7
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.98
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.7
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.9
No position
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.8
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.6
Yes position
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.1
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.46
No position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.11
No position
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.78
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by April 17, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.17
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
No position
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 18.1% 159.85 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 17.4% 144 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 19% 275 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 16.4% 481.98 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?No 22% 45.95 shares
- Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No 29% 24.68 shares
- Will "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 81% 9.21 shares
- Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?Yes 67% 7.69 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?Yes 0.4% 131 shares
- Will "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 24% 9.21 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?Yes 1% 15 shares