Polymarket Trader

ARRA777pro

0x681edd29d29e39828eda05537a10892d0e907ad9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $520.38
Realized PnL: $53.35
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45K
Potential profit: $6.45K
User PnL: -$12.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $88.83
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$11.16

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $27.44
Potential payout: $609.87
Potential profit: $582.43
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $432.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $214.45
Potential payout: $337.72
Potential profit: $123.27
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $19.45

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $74.83
Potential payout: $267.71
Potential profit: $192.89
Multiplier: 3.58x
User PnL: $24.83

Yes position

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $194.74
Potential profit: $190.16
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$32.42

Yes position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $176.43
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $164.92
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $136.11
Potential profit: $135.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $115.45
Potential profit: $113.32
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.86

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $90.81
Potential profit: $85.86
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$9.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.72
Potential profit: $84.72
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $73.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.87
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.23
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.92

No position

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $24.71
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: $36.35

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $10.54

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$3.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 3.2% 311.5 shares
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

No 8.2% 24.29 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.1% 609.87 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 24.5% 119.93 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 4.6% 327.02 shares
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56% 71.43 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 5.1% 294.12 shares
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56% 53.57 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 5.1% 395.12 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 15.4% 463.63 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 5% 600 shares
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 73% 20.55 shares