Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $91.59
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $166.41
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $70.69
Polymarket Trader
ZestyBasil
0x6821379034f8b0901f4f45153c99a1b7ed2e63a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.76
- Realized PnL
- $102.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $94.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $87
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $43.88
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$17.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 3% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?No 6.9% 24 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 93.6% 80 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.1% 44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9?No 96.9% 38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.5% 82 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?No 3.2% 32 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 93.4% 19 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.4% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?Yes 3.3% 50.27 shares
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No 96.4% 32 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 8.5% 24 shares