Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $131.73
- Potential payout
- $7.98K
- Potential profit
- $7.85K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Polymarket Trader
simplystupid188
0x682c92615993fd1f75cdfe101efdc1a8adcb17ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $629.62
- Realized PnL
- $10.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $36.36
- Potential payout
- $6.61K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$16.53
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- User PnL
- -$41.95
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $34.9
- Potential payout
- $5.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $36.86
- Potential payout
- $4.91K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.56
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.63K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- User PnL
- -$35.72
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $28.7
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$20.83
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.51
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $36.97
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Yes position
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $40.1
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- User PnL
- -$44.76
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.16
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $39.82
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $21.62
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.84
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $19.66
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$25.87
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15.89
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $33.35
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.53
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $25.23
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $31.16
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$16.11
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $17.61
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $24.01
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.9
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- User PnL
- -$20.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.65
Yes position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.53
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $512.82
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.91
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.1
Yes position
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.87
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $368.69
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $348.43
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.51
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.53
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.97
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.56
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.87
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.6
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $274.23
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.57
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.83
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.55
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.4% 36.72 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 5.2% 43.09 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 5.2% 32.32 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 51% 13.05 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.8% 18 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49% 11.67 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49% 10 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.6% 26.09 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes 24% 12.9 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes 24% 15.17 shares