Polymarket Trader

148572738484

0x682db86f41a12d9292befded523564314c1f31ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.74
Realized PnL: $186.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$256.05

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$904.85

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $397.84
Potential profit: $397.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$45.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $36.81K

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.49K

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.52K

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09K

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $11.03K

No position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86K

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73K

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

No position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 0.4% 420.45 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 18% 100.1 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 19% 7,249.46 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 69,386.93 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 0.2% 55,058.49 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 0.4% 1,820.12 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 2,469.88 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 33,955.65 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 1,396.92 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 37.21 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 0.2% 49,375.73 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 1% 4,775.41 shares