Polymarket Trader

yuyang

@carmel_qveen27

0x684592063acf613e2d0d5887256a0c16cb48c125

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $405
Realized PnL: $19.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.09K
Potential profit: $30.09K
User PnL: -$105.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.58K
Potential profit: $19.58K
User PnL: -$19.58

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62K
Potential profit: $8.62K
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
User PnL: -$19.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$66.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06K
Potential profit: $6.06K
User PnL: -$43.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $5.65K
User PnL: -$16.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5.21K
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$8.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
User PnL: -$10.97

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $385.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $70.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$13.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$21.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$55.25

Yes position

Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$75.32

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$40.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Trump post less than 80 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $996.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.11

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $829.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.58

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.58

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $706.3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $704.38

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $700.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $698.86

Yes position

Will POTUS tweet 17-19 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.45

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $633.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $592.55

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $580.6

Yes position

WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 44% 244.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 668.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 37% 244.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1% 334.37 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 3,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 16.5% 168.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 130 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 25% 78.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 19% 649.99 shares