Polymarket Trader

ItsAllJustNoise

0x6845ea7cb4e6c2a56a40d35e7c9c550469c578fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $135.69
Realized PnL: $393.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.81K
Potential profit: $6.81K
User PnL: -$20.42

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $572.1
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $447.09
Potential profit: $442.84
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.91

Avalanche position

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.8
Potential profit: $430.8
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $358.93
Potential profit: $357.67
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.41

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $102.29
Potential payout: $215.35
Potential profit: $113.06
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $3.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $78
User PnL: -$39.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.55
Potential profit: $46.55
User PnL: -$2

Canadiens position

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$3

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Lightning position

Lightning vs. Canadiens

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

Nuggets position

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.21

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Blues

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Capitals

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Nuggets position

Raptors vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.92

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Wild

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Ducks position

Oilers vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Canadiens position

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Stars

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Hurricanes position

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 30% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 24% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 87% 11.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Down 13% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Down 32% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 35% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Up 26% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 28% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 28% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 17.8% 14.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 14% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Down 24% 10 shares