Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $109.01
- Potential payout
- $229.5
- Potential profit
- $120.49
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $11.61
Polymarket Trader
lucaskbahia
0x684d9cc555bee6737b8a9791370c21ac1fc1cda3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.34
- Realized PnL
- $382.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $22.7
- Potential profit
- $21.37
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.85
- Potential profit
- $19.85
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.67
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.3
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.71
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.42
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Mali end in a draw?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 40% 140 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 276.62 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca 46% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 34.18 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 13% 22.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 68% 7.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48.6% 47.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 35.7% 59.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 44% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 31% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 33% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 39% 200 shares