No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $40.54
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $10.45
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.54
Polymarket Trader
Rov-200
0x68512743608ae493f85a260ca8b2bdcfd4bfbc38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.18
- Realized PnL
- $317.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.57
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $42.76
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $40.4
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.81
- Potential profit
- $32.81
- User PnL
- -$27.89
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $24.73
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $16.97
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.92
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $6.99
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Over position
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Cavaliers position
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.37
Under position
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.31
Grizzlies position
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.85
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Chicago Cubs position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Utah
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?No 72.6% 51 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 90% 3.12 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 17.86 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 8.47 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.3% 6.99 shares