Polymarket Trader

0x686880EEA810Fa9141Be46A1aCec9Eee41755198-1770878625325

0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $645.8
Realized PnL: $13.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $968
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $44.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $955.5
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have less than 350mm of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $974.77
Potential profit: $974.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $33.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $566.1
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $283.41
Potential payout: $442.83
Potential profit: $159.42
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $36.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $33.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $266.85
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $472.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $331.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $323.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 60% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Yes 55.5% 412.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

No 0.5% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?

Yes 0.6% 199.99 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 77% 164.4 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 83% 60.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?

Yes 6.3% 87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?

No 59.3% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

No 72.3% 30.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

No 62% 35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

No 65.5% 111.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?

Yes 12% 355.58 shares