No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $15.74K
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $255.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.74K
Polymarket Trader
0x68688EC522468e7F8C4Ce4c286017C8C3820a90A-1761046724354
0x68688ec522468e7f8c4ce4c286017c8c3820a90a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.74K
- Realized PnL
- $18.92K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02K
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.82
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.03
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.38
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.85
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.03
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.95
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.97
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.47
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$36.87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$308.19
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$406.46
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 36.3% 7,327.99 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 38.6% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 14% 13,983.95 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 75% 15,997 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 94.6% 204.88 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 94.6% 30 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 94.6% 54 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 94.5% 1,382 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes 95% 670.29 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes 92% 50 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes 92% 100 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 93% 1,055 shares