Polymarket Trader

Rfauske

0x68699935caef467f105d853b684c292f043143d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.17
Realized PnL: $23.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.42
Potential profit: $143.42
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $36.07
Potential profit: $34.68
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $12.67
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $12.21
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hussein" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

No 26% 7.69 shares
Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 36.7% 13.64 shares
Will Trump say "Hussein" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Will Trump's remarks not air?

Yes 2.8% 36.07 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?

No 0.5% 1,836.68 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 7% 143.42 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 12.5% 80 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares