Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.5
- Potential profit
- $445.5
- User PnL
- -$181.37
Polymarket Trader
0x6870...f43d
0x687045537cde062676f49d4e1c34f51d04d0f43d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $282.37
- Realized PnL
- -$215.98
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $262.24
- Potential payout
- $262.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $100.13
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $20.14
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $118.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.21
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.76
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.6
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.37
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.77
Yes position
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.74
Yes position
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 61.8% 262.24 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7.6% 869.28 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 40.7% 445.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7% 869.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 99.4% 145.02 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 28% 140.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 5.1% 266.67 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 2.1% 863.67 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 18% 138.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 46.8% 145.02 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes 25% 389.01 shares
- Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?Yes 18.9% 254.18 shares