Polymarket Trader

0x687d8cF19d873aED1957E61a3f2092D4721Ce28B-1763957275292

0x687d8cf19d873aed1957e61a3f2092d4721ce28b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.91K
Realized PnL: $17.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $124.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $124.02

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $271.7
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $793.79
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $61.58

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $207.68
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $857.33
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $7.64
User PnL: $236.5

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $21.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $937
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $874.13
Potential payout: $999
Potential profit: $124.88
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $174.83

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $955.56
Potential payout: $997.97
Potential profit: $42.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $49.9

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $557.19
Potential payout: $960.68
Potential profit: $403.48
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $108.6

Yes position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $587.87
Potential payout: $890.72
Potential profit: $302.84
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $101.33

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $106.76
Potential payout: $889.69
Potential profit: $782.93
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$29.62

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $728.68
Potential payout: $858.28
Potential profit: $129.6
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $104.25

No position

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $352.49
Potential payout: $607.74
Potential profit: $255.25
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $32.61

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $421.59
Potential payout: $597.99
Potential profit: $176.41
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $45.84

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $275.72
Potential payout: $557.01
Potential profit: $281.29
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$46.1

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $309.89
Potential payout: $410.45
Potential profit: $100.56
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.26

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $154
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $246
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $249.37
Potential payout: $398.99
Potential profit: $149.62
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $264.88
Potential payout: $370.46
Potential profit: $105.58
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $17.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.18
Potential profit: $301.18
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $222.6
Potential payout: $298.99
Potential profit: $76.39
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $63.54

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$148.74

No position

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $151.44
Potential payout: $203.27
Potential profit: $51.83
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $140
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $999.81

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $796.68

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721.5

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640.26

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.45

Heat position

Heat vs. Cavaliers

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.3

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.54

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.27

Yes position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.19

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.1

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.54

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.09

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.08

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Avalanche

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.23

Yes position

Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.72

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.95

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.18

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.29

Canadiens position

Bruins vs. Canadiens

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.84

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 79% 129.93 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 0.7% 204.24 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 85.7% 5 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 49% 58 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 42.1% 199.24 shares
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

No 89% 105.5 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 72% 99 shares
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

No 74% 124.91 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 53.1% 45 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 53.4% 34.38 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 80% 25 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 45% 200 shares