No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $143.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $46.94
Polymarket Trader
Semeavalanchanenelauto
0x68913efe73d211e53b6b7af42bb73fb47fb04b0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $60.24
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $9.02
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.87
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $224.77
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.52
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.47
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.44
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.15
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.91
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $270?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.78
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Michelsen position
Brisbane International: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17
No position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 51.0 million or more views on day 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 2?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 528.59 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 531.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 1,914.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 216.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 98.9% 2,814.95 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No 99.4% 100.6 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?No 99.4% 24.79 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 57 million views on day 5?No 99.8% 200.4 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 2,767.84 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 99.8% 2,762.64 shares