No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x6899d542fad97d2Bc6C788604bdA08DFF8dE713E-1774704279993
0x6899d542fad97d2bc6c788604bda08dff8de713e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.91
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.22
- Potential profit
- $329.22
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.88
- Potential profit
- $204.88
- User PnL
- -$128
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.14
- Potential profit
- $182.14
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.72
- Potential profit
- $171.72
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.71
- Potential profit
- $159.71
- User PnL
- -$110.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.84
- Potential profit
- $154.84
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$60
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.46
- Potential profit
- $124.46
- User PnL
- -$51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$41.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.4
- Potential profit
- $114.4
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $61.91
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $18.08
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.06
- Potential profit
- $74.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.02
- Potential profit
- $66.02
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.89
- Potential profit
- $61.89
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.83
- Potential profit
- $60.83
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.03
- Potential profit
- $53.03
- User PnL
- -$40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.24
- Potential profit
- $48.24
- User PnL
- -$39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $44.12
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.25
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.2% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 36% 20 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 70.6% 29.99 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 70.6% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown 79% 11.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown 81.4% 36.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown 95% 31.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 96% 31.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 55% 54.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 54% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 54% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETDown 94% 31.91 shares